Why Accuracy Matters

Mantica doesn't just predict — it keeps score, learns from misses, and improves every month. Every prediction is locked at creation time and verified against actual outcomes. This isn't about opinions or vibes. It's about measurable, improving accuracy.

71%
Overall Accuracy
Correct winner picks
A-
Calibration Grade
Probabilities match reality
83%
High-Confidence
When we say 80%+
1,247
Predictions Made
863 resolved, 384 pending

Accuracy by Confidence Bucket

Our probabilities are calibrated to reality. If we say 70%, it should happen ~70% of the time.

90-100% Confidence
92% n=48
80-90% Confidence
83% n=127
70-80% Confidence
74% n=219
60-70% Confidence
69% n=293
50-60% Confidence
58% n=176

Performance by Category

🥊 Combat Sports
Win/Loss Accuracy 68%
Calibration A-
Total Predictions 487
🔍 SEO & Ranking
Outcome Accuracy 76%
Calibration A
Total Predictions 312
📈 Business
Outcome Accuracy 64%
Calibration B+
Total Predictions 64

How Mantica Learns & Improves

Every resolved prediction becomes training data. When reality proves us wrong, we adjust feature weights, refine confidence calibration, and improve similarity matching. This is a closed learning loop that gets smarter with every event.

1
Create Prediction
2
Event Resolves
3
Measure Accuracy
4
Update Model
5
Improve Future